From: Sally Morris <[log in to unmask]> Date: Wed, 8 Feb 2012 10:06:39 +0000 Can Heather (or anyone) provide a figure of (immediate) OA articles as a percentage of all articles in each recent year? That's what we need to look at to see whether, as Sami states, it is indeed growing at just 1% p.a. Sally Sally Morris South House, The Street, Clapham, Worthing, West Sussex, UK BN13 3UU Tel: +44 (0)1903 871286 Email: [log in to unmask] -----Original Message----- From: LibLicense-L Discussion Forum [mailto:[log in to unmask]] On Behalf Of LIBLICENSE Sent: 08 February 2012 00:13 To: [log in to unmask] Subject: Elsevier Futures: Exane Paribus - OA growth rate correction From: Heather Morrison <[log in to unmask]> Date: Tue, 7 Feb 2012 09:56:32 -0800 On 6-Feb-12, at 4:59 PM, LIBLICENSE wrote: Forwarded with permission To: <[log in to unmask]>: Date: Mon, 6 Feb 2012 19:47:24 -0500 Sami Kassab [log in to unmask] wrote: * Open Access unlikely to hurt financials in the medium term and is priced in The proportion of Open Access is growing at less than 1% pa. ##Correction / clarification: this rate may well be correct for Elsevier's high-price, low-value "Sponsored Articles" version of open access, which I would describe as pseudo open access. The actual OA growth rates are much greater, however. Some examples of growth in 2011: Directory of Open Access Journals 24% journal growth 47% growth in articles searchable at article level Open J-Gate 33% growth in english-language peer-reviewed open access journal OpenDOAR 19% growth in number of repositories BASE 32% growth in number of documents in repositories PubMedCentral 15% article growth Bjork et - percentage of open access within 2 years of publication: 20% For details, see: December 31, 2011 Dramatic Growth of Open Access http://poeticeconomics.blogspot.com/2011/12/happy-2012-open-access-movement. html Bjork et al references - Dramatic Growth Rationale & Method http://pages.cmns.sfu.ca/heather-morrison/appendix-b-the-dramatic-growth-of- open-access-rationale-method/ best, Heather Morrison