From: leo waaijers <[log in to unmask]> Date: Thu, 12 Jan 2017 20:35:09 +0100 The name of the list suggests that subscribers may be interested in the current international OA licence negotiations. Therefore we take the liberty to refer to a scenario analysis that has been written by Maurits van der Graaf and me as a sequel to the renowned white paper published by the Max Planck Society in the spring of 2015. It may be found at: http://www.pleiade.nl/HowcouldanOpenAccessScholarlyJournalsystemlooklike.pdf We think that our analysis is spot on as it addresses the two topical scenario's (author market and institutional market) on how to proceed from the recent OA licenses to a full-blown open access world in 2020 or pretty soon thereafter, and which are currently under discussion in the Netherlands and elsewhere. We are highly interested in comments of yours and others, on or off the list. Specifically, we solicit your opinion on which of the two scenarios would fit best. Or do you foresee other ones? We are intending to incorporate these views in a follow up paper later this year. Leo Waaijers, [log in to unmask]