From: Colin Steele <[log in to unmask]>
Date: Sat, Mar 3, 2018 at 6:43 PM


https://www.timeshighereducation.com/blog/it-time-nationalis
e-academic-publishers

Is it time to nationalise academic publishers?

With state intervention back in vogue, and publishers’ profit margins still
sky-high, journals could be the next monopoly to come under scrutiny

March 2, 2018


By David Matthews
<https://www.timeshighereducation.com/author/david-matthews>

After decades of free-market ideological dominance on both sides of the
Atlantic, nationalisation (or at least anti-monopoly state intervention) is
back on the agenda.

“Rail, water, energy, Royal Mail, we’re taking them back,” shadow
chancellor John McDonnell​ (above) told a Labour Party on the brink of
power last year. Even the *Financial Times*
<https://www.ft.com/content/40ef9ff8-fd4b-11e7-9b32-d7d59aace167> has run a
series of investigations asking hard questions about the wisdom
of past privatisations.


Elsevier’s profits swell to more than £900 million
<https://www.timeshighereducation.com/news/elseviers-profits-swell-more-ps900-million>

Meanwhile in the US, monopoly-busting
<https://www.thenation.com/article/elizabeth-warrens-big-fight-against-monopolies/>,
in industries ranging from health insurance to airlines, has
become a rallying cry of Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren. Critics
have also taken aim at tech companies, which Warren has compared to
the US oil, sugar and railroad trusts of the 19th century, accusing them of
exploiting the scale of their digital networks to create natural monopolies
over advertising. Eye-watering profit margins for Google
<http://financials.morningstar.com/ratios/r.html?t=GOOG> and Facebook
<http://financials.morningstar.com/ratios/r.html?t=FB> (24 per cent and 50
per cent respectively) are the result.

As many researchers are uncomfortably aware, similarly whopping margins,
which aren’t supposed to exist in a competitive free market, are alive and
well in academia. Last week, Elsevier, the world’s biggest academic
publisher, announced profits of more than £900 million
<https://www.timeshighereducation.com/news/elseviers-profits-swell-more-ps900-million>,
and unchanged margins of 36.8 per cent.

Its rivals are little different. The academic publishing division of Informa
<http://fr.zone-secure.net/20307/320850/publication/contents/templates/pdfs/Informa_Annual_Report_and_Financial_Statements_2016.pdf>,
which includes publishers Taylor & Francis and Routledge, made more than
£160 million in 2016, with a profit margin of 38 per cent. Wiley
<https://s3.amazonaws.com/wiley-ecomm-prod-content/April+30%2C+2017.pdf>
managed
a margin of 29.6 per cent in 2017, raking in $252 million (£183
million)*. Between these three companies, that’s more than £1.25 billion a
year siphoned off from the research system annually: not far off enough to
fund another University of Oxford
<https://www.timeshighereducation.com/world-university-rankings/university-oxford>
.

Some of this is doubtless reinvested in new publishing tools. But hundreds
of millions go to shareholders (Informa and Elsevier’s parent company RELX
collectively paid out nearly £900 million in dividends), while tens of
millions more
<https://www.thebookseller.com/news/relxs-engstrom-tops-industry-rich-list-653371>
go
to executives (the boss of RELX was paid more than £10 million in 2016).

Complaints about publishers’ profits are far from new. In 1998, *The *
*Economist* <https://www.economist.com/node/603719> hoped that, with the
rise of electronic journals, “the days of 40% profit margins may soon be as
dead as Robert Maxwell”.

But with a change in the political wind – and a sense that all other
measures have failed to bring publishers’ profits to heel – I wonder if we
might start to see calls for the likes of McDonnell or Warren to intervene.

Take open access. There was once hope that switching to paying per article
published, rather than for bulk subscriptions to closed journals, might
reduce costs and perhaps slim margins.

But there are few signs of this happening. In the UK, university libraries
are paying more than ever
<https://www.timeshighereducation.com/news/huge-rise-subscription-costs-despite-open-access-switch>
for
journals despite speedy progress towards open access. Average article
processing charges (the fees paid to publish a paper open
access) are increasing at more than 5 per cent a year. Nor does the rise of
the pirate site Sci-Hub seem to have dented margins.

Indeed, it is possible to imagine a world that has switched entirely to
open access, yet publishers’ profits are as high as ever. The reason, as
argued by Alex Holcombe and Björn Brembs
<https://www.timeshighereducation.com/blog/open-access-germany-best-deal-no-deal>,
is
that publishers control prestigious, legacy journals with high impact
factors. Researchers are compelled to publish in these journals for the
sake of their careers, even if they are more expensive than alternatives
(they point to *Scientific Reports*, which has used the *Nature *brand
to help squeeze out the cheaper, near-identical *PLOS One*).

This points to academic publishers’ rather unusual form of monopoly. It is
not a particularly concentrated market: even the biggest player, Elsevier,
points out that it publishes only 17 per cent of all articles. Nor do
publishers control the means of distribution (ie, the internet), like water
companies might control pipes. Authors have plenty of options if they want
to publish elsewhere. It’s true that no one is forcing you to pay $5,000 to
publish in *Cell* *Reports*.

But academics are trapped inside a giant prisoner’s dilemma: no one wants
to be the first to publish in a cheaper journal that won’t look as good on
their CV (especially if you’re not actually spending your own money). The
exceptions are instructive: Tim Gowers
<https://gowers.wordpress.com/2012/01/21/elsevier-my-part-in-its-downfall>,
the Cambridge mathematician, boycotted Elsevier in 2012 – but with a Fields
Medal, he probably doesn’t worry too much about his impact factor.

Of course, the even deeper problem here is a reliance on impact factors and
journal titles as a proxy for academic quality. But until that fiendishly
difficult problem is solved, absent of government regulation, the now
completely routine annual loss of hundreds of millions of pounds to
publishers’ shareholders is here to stay.

Some solutions have already been put forward for the likes of Google and
Facebook. The academic Jonathan Taplin
<https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/22/opinion/sunday/is-it-time-to-break-up-google.html>
suggests
regulating them like a public utility, potentially controlling prices and
forcing them to spend a fixed proportion of profits on freely available
research and development.

Still, if frustrated researchers do begin to implore politicians on the
left to help them break the power of big bad publishers, I wonder how
sympathetic a hearing they will receive. Academics must bear some of the
responsibility for publishing’s many dysfunctions. McDonnell or Warren
might well ask: how have such clever people ended up in such a mess?

*[log in to unmask]
<[log in to unmask]>*

*I originally reported that Wiley's profit margin was 74 per cent; however,
having been contacted by another journalist who has been over their
accounts before, a much better way of calculating profits gives a margin
instead of 29.6 per cent. Still high, but not quite higher-than-Facebook
high.



---------------------------------------------

Colin Steele
Emeritus Fellow

ANU College of Arts and Social Sciences

The Australian National University

Room 3.31, Beryl Rawson Building #13

Acton, ACT, 2601
Australia



P: + 61 2 6125 8983 <+61%202%206125%208983>

E: [log in to unmask]