The following article (preprint) was posted to the bioRxiv repository today.
Research Article: “The Future of OA: A Large-Scale Analysis Projecting Open Access Publication and Readership” (Preprint)
Given existing trends, we estimate that by 2025: – 44% of all journal articles will be available as OA. – 70% of article views will be to OA articles. The declining relevance of closed access articles is likely to change the landscape of scholarly communication in the years to come.